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November 5 th, 2010 4:23 PM
wiseblade
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Preview of the Ascot Vale Final

06 Nov SYDN2 Ascot Vale Cup Final (1200m Gr. I)
Proudly sponsored by hareeba

The race is to be held at Sydney Harbour Racecourse, Australia, at 02:15, Sat 06 Nov 10


1 – Donde (Los Mareados)

A British-bred colt bought for 100k start of last season, Donde starts from the most inside rail. Yet to break his maiden, he comes into the final after a solid showing last weekend, catching the punters by surprise with a very powerful finish to lose by 0.1 sec to Toon Left in the 2nd of Saturday’s heats.

Donde was racing predominantly in the European Sprint Series last season, and placed 2nd on 2 occasions. So he has experience at racing at this level. Prior to the Ascot Vale, he raced in the Spring Guineas Preview but was well out of the placings due to the longer distance.

He should do well in this final, with 7xp at this distance, and possibly an outside bet to finish in the money. A new jockey is scheduled to ride him, so perhaps the chemistry might be lacking. However, being in the inside rail would allow him to run less around the bend, which might be well taken advantage of.



2- World’s Strength (Group 1)

A Breakaway filly bred by her trainer, this entry from Group 1 represents one of the local hopes to retain the cup back in Australia. The only foal out of Righteous, the first yearling pull this stable purchased just 1 day after joining TK, World’s Strength represents a sentimental entry.

This filly has been raced sparingly, just 4 times in her career, but has already amassed more than half a million in prize money. Started her career racing the Phar Lap stakes, and achieved respectable results, finishing just behind Guineas 5th place finisher Manita De Porco in a couple of races.

Hence, it was a good 3rd last weekend in the shortest of heats. Given that she had been placed in the longer sprints previously, the distance in the final should be no problem for her. Armed with 7xp at this distance, and with regular partner Fallon Schweers back to ride her again, watch out for this filly. Her only concern could be it would require a quick burst of early speed to kickstart her style, and if somehow she manages to do so in this fast field, expect plenty of horses trying to chase her in the final third of this race. She might just be able to hang on for a good finish, and do what her half brother Thai Davidson couldn’t do last season in the final.


3- Jim Dandy Sabre (The Willow’s Elite

This homebred colt by Noodles is the entry top stable The Willow’s Elite has sent to Sydney to contest this cup. Jim Dandy Sabre would face plenty of familiar foes from his time racing at the top level since birth. Many of them had been entered in last season’s 2yo Breeder’s Cup, in which he came in 10th after finishing 3rd in the qualifier.

Jim Dandy Sabre has always come close in all his 6 previous races, but has yet to break his maiden. His owner has trained him well and he was spelled for a month close to the end of last season before taking part in the first 2 rounds of the Spring Guineas. In both races, Jim Dandy Sabre has shown plenty of early speed, but those distances proved too much for him and he was overhauled by the eventual winners. However, a 5th and 3rd in his less favourite distance shows he is no slouch.

Last weekend, Jim Dandy Sabre again was challenging for the lead early, and looked set to be in the money until being caught by the fast finishing Prancess Anne to finish in 6th. Tough assignment for him, as no less than 5 entries in this final finished ahead of him in the Breeders’ Cup Final. Despite so, his owner is one of the smartest trainers around, and a Willow’s Elite entry in a final is always worth a look, especially the change in jockey might prove to be the spark his trainer is looking for.


4- Prancess Anne (Prancing Winners)

Just outside of Jim Dandy Sabre is familiar adversary Prancess Anne. This final would be the 4th consecutive confrontation in Sydney this season alone between this two so expect plenty of fireworks as they renew their intense rivalry.

Previously named Salsabil, this filly was renamed in honour of a fellow TKer who has been a master trainer of Competitive sprinters just like this filly.

Bought just over a season ago for slightly more than 100k, a huge sum given the stable was relatively new, Prancess Anne has come a long way since then and repaid her transfer fee many times over. This daughter of top 4 enabled stud Fashoor, has become a cornerstone of the stable’s up and coming youngsters and provided both joy and pride to her new owner.

Prancess Anne comes into this final in a good vein of form. She announced her arrival into competitive age-restricted racing in the Spring Guineas, where she won the Preview and was runner-up in the Prelude to stablemate Prancess Gloria. Skipped the final to prepare for this cup and finished 5th last weekend despite a poor start.

This field would be the strongest she has ever faced, and given her low OR, it would be a tough test for her. However, confidence is high in her camp, as her owner wants a good performance as a tribute to her namesake, and since this would also be stable champion jockey Khadijah Patillo’s farewell big race for this stable, motivation is not a doubt. She loves racing in traffic, and with luck, she might just do well.



5- Okely Dokely (Windy Hill)

One of the hot favourites for this race, Okely Dokely comes into this race with big expectations, and darling of the local crowd. Full brother to Belmont Stakes runner-up Evil Roy Slade, Okely Dokely packs power, explosiveness and stamina in his tiny frame.

A regular competitor on the Australian sprint scene, Okely Dokely is hugely successful and has already amassed close to a million in prize money.

This colt is super consistent among the tough fields he has been competing against, and finished 7th in the Golden Slipper last season.

Finally broke his maiden last weekend, in the toughest of all heats, beating the Golden Slipper winner himself, Quality Nemesis. That said it all. This colt is definitely one to watch out for this weekend. A change in jockey might be a trick up the sleeve for the trainer. Only the lower OR compared to some in the field might count against him. This is a definite bet for a place.



6- Fast Silver (Karaka Breeders)

This tall filly from Karaka Breeders is the somewhat of an unknown quantity until last weekend. Daughter of young stud American Pie, she only made her debut last week.

Her trainer has trained her well, both on the training track and during training, accumulating much race experience prior to letting her go out in a real field.

She was definitely overawed early, but recovered from her poor start to power home in 5th.

With Melany Ashcroft back to ride her again in the final, she should do reasonably well. Her xp of 10 over this distance towers over her opponents just like her height, and with her high OR, ignore her at your own peril.



7- Ozzy Boy (Golf View Stables)

The best out the huge crop bred by his trainer last season from stud Master Debater, Ozzy Boy is no stranger to the local crowd. His best performance was achieved here on this very track in the Golden Slipper final.

In that final, Ozzy Boy exploded out of the gates and led for 3 quarters of the race before fading badly in the last quarter to be caught by the eventual winners

led by Quality Nemesis. Despite so, he clocked above 60km/h in that race on a Fast track and shows he does have plenty of speed in him.

Yet to break his maiden, he performed admirably last weekend in 4th, in the heat won by Okely Dokely. Multiple Cup winning jockey Darren Neris is riding him in the final, and since this is his final season, expect him and the trainer to go all out to bring this trophy back. Ozzy Boy should place well, but would need a monumental effort to stave off the chasing pack if he takes an early lead as expected.



8- Riddley Mello (ERINDALE)

 

A somewhat unknown prior to this cup, Riddley Mello has done his trainer proud to make this final. A Peredur colt, Riddley Mello was a bargain 5k buy shortly after he was born.

In his 2yo season, he was raced mostly in lower stakes races. Interestingly, he raced in a variety of distances, and started his career in an epic and mile race before slowly racing in shorter distances.

Last weekend, he raced in the Sunday heats, arguably the weakest of the 3 heats, and secured a place in the final by finishing strongly in 7th.

Low in OR, and a jockey with lower morale compared to his peers in this field, it would be extremely hard for Riddley Mello. In this competitive field, and the peculiar style he has, this final would be a step too far for this colt. And he would need to get fit fast.



9- Oi Chief Singer (L F C)

 

The grandson of TK legend Dorothy, Oi Chief Singer is a Competitive, just like his illustrious grandsire. A 250k purchase last season, this colt has been kept in reserve until the Ascot Vale.

Made his debut last weekend, and what a debut it was. Left out of sight by punters who were turned off by his lack of competitive race experience, this colt stayed close to the front pack and kicked clear of everyone by the end, winning by 3 lengths from Sheyanne Almost.

Stable regular jockey Silas Brown is back again riding him in the final, and Oi Chief Singer looks a good bet for the win. The Ascot Vale is one of trophies missing from L F C’s bulging trophy cabinet, and this colt might have been a patient seasonal project since last season aimed to finally bring back the cup.



10 – Falcon My (Falcon’s)

One of the highest rated sprinters in this race, this daughter of Frodo, is another Competitive sent into this final. Falcon My brings quite a big reputation into this final.

Made her debut in the Breeders’ Cup and was 3rd in the final after a poor 8th in the heats. She was then raced in the European Sprint series, notching her only win in the 3rd leg, and finishing 10th in the final.

She was then spelled in preparing for this cup. The pre-race favourite last week, she was leading early in the Sunday heats before fading badly last quarter to finish 9th, and qualified for the final by virtue of racing in the longest heat of the 3 available. Terribly disappointing last weekend, but it could be a ploy to trick us all, just like the Breeders Final. Jockey Viva Minniefield is riding her for the 4 th time so chemistry is no issue here. Include in quinella and place.



11- Quality Nemesis (n2racing)

High OR almost topping 50 when fully fit. 7xp at this distance. Golden Slipper winner. Top 2yo money earner last season. 2yo seasonal record holder at this distance set right here in Sydney, clocking 60.34km/h for a mind-boggling time of 1.11.590 in the Golden Slipper final. Quality Nemesis oozes class in every sense you can think of. If you’re asked to name a top 2yo sprinter from last season, chances are Quality Nemesis would be the first to come to mind.

Finished a disappointing 3rd last week in the qualifiers, and that says a lot about the high expectations heaped upon him since it was the first time he is out of the quinella. It has to be said that his trainer probably ran him at 70%, keeping him fresh for the final. Still Quality Nemesis only lost by a neck, in possibly the most competitive heat last weekend, with the top 7 finishers all separated by just 0.60 sec.

If there’s an attribute his owner has in abundance, it has to be patience. Huge in fact. Stablemate 3yo filly Denmark ran a superb and gallant debut race last weekend in the Mediterranean Oaks despite not fully ready, and Quality Nemesis was given a similar treatment and spelled for 5 weeks after the Golden Slipper final, and heavily trained and kept in cotton wool for this race. Having waited patiently a full season for this big moment, Quality Nemesis might just fulfil his potential and bring back the elusive cup for his trophy cabinet. Fighting fit, only the weather and his slightly heavy weight might derail this Fast Finisher but there is a high chance that the track would be dead this Saturday so everything points to a potential cup winner



12- Double Dare (Double Trouble Farm)

Another of those entries which was lightly raced prior to this cup, Double Dare, the first foal out of Double Time, is a definite contender here.

This filly only made her debut this season in the Spartan Invitational, where she faced several finalists in this race today, and showed her quality by beating them all, and only losing to surprise winner Hazy Fantasy

Last weekend, she was 4th in the heat won by Toon Left, setting a quick pace early on before fading back at the end.

Good OR, and 6xp at this distance, Double Dare has a chance. However, the extra distance might prove to be her undoing, and her new jockey might not suit her. One to watch definitely, and do place a small bet on place if the odds are good.



13- Toon Left (Scarcev Stables)

An Unpredictable, Scarcev Stables has brought an interesting colt to this final. Son of Toon Prince, and half brother to last season’s winner Lottie, Toon Left has all the pedigree and credentials to contend for the cup.

Started his career poorly in the Breeders’ Cup, where he failed to make the final, and he was soon racing in the European Sprint series where he was in the

money both times. He was given a spell closer to the end of last season for some intense training, and finally broke his maiden last week in the heats.

Fittest among the field, and with a good xp of 8 to boot, Toon Left should be close. His recent performances have been improving, and the matching with jockey Pasquale Barak seems to be prospering at the right time. A definite bet for win and place, and no one would be surprised if he upsets the form book to grab the cup from his more illustrious rivals.



14- Robyn (BecStars)

Another of the domestic hopes, Robyn, is a product of her trainer’s sustainable breeding programme. A consistent performer at the highest level in the Australian 2yo racing scene, she would be out of place in this field.

Her best performance of her brief career came at the season ending Golden Slipper final where she finished 3rd, clocking above 60km/h in the process,

beating 4 other finalists in this field in that race. She was 7th last weekend, in her first race since the Slipper final, and it was more of conserving energy for this race than a poor performance. Robyn actually burst out of the gate quick, but was held back before launching a sprint end race to secure a spot in the final and looks to have plenty left in the tank.

Jockey Lana Kahen is back riding her for the umpteenth time so both horse and jockey should be very familiar with each other’s styles. It would be tough for Robyn to break her maiden here, but everyone loves an underdog, and this filly is not very far off the top of the pedestal so expect her to run well.



15- Is Thru Cheetah (Triggers)

A filly bred by Canning Vale Estates, Is Thru Cheetah was a 250k buy by her trainer after she was born. Half sister to this season’s Spring Guineas runner-up Skelly, she has a big expectation on her shoulders.

In her 2yo season, Is Thru Cheetah was raced in the Australian Phar Lap Series, but her performances have been pretty average. In fact, she was out of the

money in all of them except on her debut, when she finished 5th. Coming into this cup it seems like she is still trying to find her feet in the right distance to race in. Last weekend, she grabbed the last qualifying slot in the most competitive heat won by Okely Dokely, so she might finally realize her potential.

Despite so, it does seem that the final is still too short a distance for her. And faced with the world class sprinters in this field, she might struggle to keep up if she has a bad start like last weekend.



16- Storm Hunter (Perfectstorm)

 

A late week 3 foal, Storm Hunter is sired by Sweepie Jango, and half brother to The Champ is Here, who is the sire of this season’s top rated 2yo Joan Balin Roger.

Heavily spelled last season, Storm Hunter made his debut in the Breeders Cup, qualified for the final in 2nd, but fared badly in the final. He was then rested and made a surprise outing in the Gamrie Open to gain experience, but was never in contention for the final with much more experienced horses

in the field. He was then tested in the Guineas Preview, before rested for the Ascot Vale.

A new jockey Joette Linsin was signed just for this race, and this shows the stable’s ambitions. However, the morale could be better, and as Storm Hunter is breaking from an outside gate, he would need to make up a lot of ground with his short stride. In this strong field, that might turn out to be a big banana skin for this colt.



17 – Picture Pericles (provincial pride)

 

One of the highest rated gallopers in this race, Picture Pericles is an interesting entry from provincial pride. Sired by Asiatic Tsunami out of Limit Omega, this colt is a half brother to Spring Guineas 4th place finisher and European top 3yo miler Ashleigh Brown.

Started his career just like some of his rivals in this race, Picture Pericles was a frequent sight in Sydney, racing in the 2yo Australian Sprint Series, then the Breeders Cup, where he finished a respectable 7th in the final.

Turning 3, this colt was raced in the Racing Report Mile and placed 4th, and certainly do not look out of place in the longer distance.

Last weekend, on the only Sunday heats, Picture Pericles was an outside contender, but did well to grab 3rd against a fair field. The fact that he can last a mile shows he has got plenty of stamina, so the distance in the final would be nothing to him. Regular partner Aleen Weicht would be back on her 3rd ride on this colt, so chemistry is good. However, Picture Pericles has a long stride which is more suited to longer distances, and that could count against him in this final. His trainer might instruct him to run wide instead to avoid the traffic along the rail and make up ground using that stride.



18- Bory Blanche (joe birds)

This filly from joe birds represents one of Europe’s biggest threats. One of the cornerstones of her stable trainer’s European Apprentice League title win last season, Bory Blanche prefers the shorter distances and is part of a trio of well balanced 3yo fillies along with miler Ashleigh Brown and stayer Doubt Emotion.

Sired by Voiceless, this filly is a half sister to last

season’s Kentucky Derby runner Peppa Pig, and has shown to be a champion in the making. Bory Blanche won 2 legs of the Apprentice League races, before she was instead raced in other stakes races.

Last weekend, she performed admirably in the toughest of heats, and placed 6 th with a strong finish without kicking in her Breakaway style. With the extra distance in the final, Bory Blanche might love it more given her come from behind style and her training in the longer sprints. An outside contender, but in a tight field and a good jockey in Rosalva Mechanic, this smart trainer might just surprise many with this filly.



19 – Hong Boo’s (DR Stables)

The first of 2 entries from DR Stables, Hong Boo’s is a very consistent performer at the highest level of world sprinting. On first sight, he might be low in OR, this colt has always been close in his races.

Started his career in the mile, but gradually moved down to shorter distances. Hong Boo’s was a frequent entrant in Australia, and he can boast to be one of the elite few to have beaten Quality Nemesis in the

Magic Millions Stakes. He went on to compete against Quality Nemesis a couple of times, and was a close 4th in the Golden Slipper final, beating stablemate Careless Jewel in the process. Last weekend, he triumphed over Quality Nemesis narrowly and lost to Okely Dokely in a photo finish, making scant notice of his lower OR compared to those 2. Already earning close to a million in prize money, this colt is one big threat.

DR stables is a proven top trainer in youngsters, and given his stable of top quality sprinters, to get an entry to represent the stable ahead of stablemate Rocky Road Indian shows the confidence his trainer has on him. Breaking out from an outside gate would be a big ask of him, but as we have all seen from his past performances, Hong Boo’s quality and has a big heart. His jockey Kristan Trigillo is back to ride him, and he is on the heavy side, so might prove to be critical in his final placing in this final.



20- Careless Jewel (DR Stables)

The 2yo Sprint Breeders Cup winner is here. A stalker by nature, this is an interesting style for a sprinter. A partner in crime to Hong Boo’s and Rocky Road Indian, this filly is no stranger to top level racing.

Consistently around the mark, Careless Jewel is the half sister to DR Stables’ champion 4yo sprinter mare Cruizininyajammys. In more ways than one,

this filly has adopted a similar path in her career as Hong Boo’s. While she might not have won since that cup win, a 6 th place finish in the Golden Slipper final is nothing to be sniffed at. Last weekend, Careless Jewel was in energy-conserving mode, and cantered to 6 th place with plenty to spare.

Also breaking from an outside gate, Careless Jewel would need to repeat her winning form in the Breeders Cup final to notch that win and beat Quality Nemesis again. Grant Northam is back to ride her so familiarity is there. With 2 entries and Cruizininyajammys’s loss in last season’s Ascot Vale final still possibly hurting the trainer Ascot Vale final, expect DR Stables to go all out to claim the cup. It would take a phenomenal effort to win, but Careless Jewel is proven at the biggest stage, and might just do it for her owner and elder sister.



Yet to enter:

Nuts Sport (Zammy Fields)

Ash Red (FRAMPTON)

Sheyanne Almost (Prancing Winners)

Hyperno Okay Crooz (haras el malebo)

Hot Java Kid (-E- v o l u t i o n)

Predictions:

2-5-9-11-13 for place and win, in no particular order.

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Editor:
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Series Reporter:
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DanielBolt


Reporter:
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redlinekai


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Tipsters:
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lyndas
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